Scenario 1: New Zealand beat England and Pakistan beat Bangladesh

New Zealand are coming off consecutive defeats against Pakistan and Australia, but will surely aim to carry momentum into the semi-final with a win over favourites England. Should New Zealand beat England, they will move to 13 points with certain qualification as England will finish on 10. However, a Pakistan win against Bangladesh will knock England out in such a scenario. Pakistan will then finish on 11 points and occupy the fourth position.

Scenario 2: New Zealand beat England and Bangladesh beat Pakistan

But England can still qualify despite losing to New Zealand. While a loss will mean they remain at 10 points, the hosts will then have to pray that Pakistan, who currently sit at fifth with 9 points, lose to Bangladesh. That will see England edge out Pakistan by ending fourth on the table while New Zealand surely make the semi-final.

Scenario 3: England beat New Zealand and Pakistan beat Bangladesh

England, whose campaign was on a knife's edge after back-to-back losses against Sri Lanka and Australia, have managed to stay alive by beating India at Edgbaston on Sunday. If they can manage another victory by beating New Zealand today, their entry into the semi-final is certain. They will get to 12 points with New Zealand remaining at 11. However, New Zealand – in all probability - will still make the last four.

Should Pakistan beat Bangladesh, both New Zealand and Pakistan will be locked on 11 points with an equal number of wins, which is the first tie-breaker lest points be equal. That is when it will boil down to the Net Run Rate (NRR). New Zealand have a pretty NRR of 0.572 while Pakistan are struggling with theirs at -0.792. With such a big difference, only a comprehensive Pakistan victory over Bangladesh and a further more devastating defeat of New Zealand against England can save Pakistan from elimination. Otherwise, New Zealand are sure to pip Pakistan into the semi-final.

Scenario 4: England beat New Zealand and Bangladesh beat Pakistan

An England win over New Zealand and Pakistan losing to Bangladesh will keep things simple in the points table. England will move to 12 points while New Zealand and Pakistan will stay at 11 and 9, respectively. That would surely eliminate Pakistan with the third position going to England and the fourth to New Zealand. The four semi-finalists would then be Australia and India - who have already qualified - and England and New Zealand.

The semi-final fixtures would then depend on the results of India’s last match against Sri Lanka on Friday and Australia’s final group game against South Africa on Saturday. If India lose to Sri Lanka then irrespective of the result between Australia and South Africa, the semi-final match-ups would be Australia vs New Zealand and England vs India. The same would be the case if both Australia and India manage to win their final group games. However, an Indian win and an Australian loss would mean it is India vs New Zealand while the great rivalry of England and Australia will resume in the semi-finals.